Zaj lus "Ntawm Kev Ua Phem Ntawm Kev Ua Phem A, Thaum Kev Cia Siab rau B" los ntawm Steven Kerr yog ib qho classic hauv kev lag luam, kev tswj hwm, thiab kev coj noj coj ua. Ntawm nws qhov tseem ceeb, kab lus yog txog kev txhawb siab thiab kev siv khoom plig los txhawb lossis ua kom tib neeg tus cwj pwm.
Yuav ua li cas muab nqi zog rau tus tab sis vam B txhais tau tias muab piv txwv?
Nov yog lwm qhov piv txwv yooj yim: Koj tau teeb tsa pab pawg lub hom phiaj ntawm 1,000 kev xa khoom tsis raug yuam kev ntawm ib qho ntawm koj cov khoom tshiab Yog tias tshwm sim, txhua tus hauv pab pawg yuav tau txais $3,000 lawm. Ib qho ntawm koj cov neeg pom qhov yuam kev tom qab ib qho ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj, tab sis nws yog qhov yuam kev uas cov neeg siv khoom yuav tsis pom ib ntus.
Yuav ua li cas hauv qab no yog piv txwv ntawm kev dag ntawm qhov khoom plig A thaum vam B?
Ntawm txoj kev dag ntawm qhov khoom plig A, thaum vam B. Koj muab nqi zog rau qhov kev ua thaum vam tus neeg kuj tau txais lwm yam. Piv txwv li: ib tug mus rau hauv chav kawm, lawv kos npe rau, lawv tau cov ntsiab lus: tab sis peb kuj cia siab tias lawv kawm ib yam dab tsi.
Kerr's Folly yog dab tsi?
Steve Kerr cov lus qhuab qhia "Folly" tsab xov xwm astutely sau tseg tias tag nrho cov koom haum ntau dhau lawm-thiab cov tib neeg uas populate lawv- invariably ua txhaum txoj cai tseem ceeb ntawm kev sib raug zoo los ntawm kev muab nqi zog rau tus cwj pwm uas lawv xav tias yuav sim. ua rau poob siab, thaum tsis muab nqi zog rau tus cwj pwm lawv xav txhawb ntxiv.
kev ruam hauv kev lag luam yog dab tsi?
lub xeev lossis qhov zoo ntawm kev ua neeg ruam; tsis muaj kev nkag siab lossis kev nkag siab. … ib txoj haujlwm uas kim thiab ruam; kev nqis peev lossis kev siv nyiaj tsis zoo.